Senate races
John J. Miller has an interesting roundup of this year's Senate races here. Of particular interest is the following summary of the race between Sen. Jim Bunning (R-Ky) and his challenger, Dr. Daniel Mongiardo:
"KENTUCKY: Liberals jumped for joy when they saw a recent poll showing Republican senator Jim Bunning tied at 43 percent against Democrat Dan Mongiardo. This result — released by a Democratic firm — was almost certainly a fluke. Another fresh survey (conducted by a GOP firm) puts Bunning ahead, 50 percent to 39 percent. Bunning won election to the Senate six years ago by a tiny margin. Odds are he'll get a return ticket but that he won't humiliate Mongiardo. LIKELY REPUBLICAN RETENTION"
I don't believe the race is tied at 43, but I also don't believe that Bunning has an 11-point lead right now. He has just come through one of the worst patches of his campaign, and fortunately for him there is only one week left until the election. If he manages to get back to the 11-point margin over the next seven days, it will be a surprise. I would guess more like a 7-8 point win for Bunning. Certainly nothing to brag about for the incumbent,but at least Kentucky will not be responsible if the balance of power shifts in the Senate.
UPDATE: Here is a story detailing the recent troubles of Kentucky's junior senator.
"KENTUCKY: Liberals jumped for joy when they saw a recent poll showing Republican senator Jim Bunning tied at 43 percent against Democrat Dan Mongiardo. This result — released by a Democratic firm — was almost certainly a fluke. Another fresh survey (conducted by a GOP firm) puts Bunning ahead, 50 percent to 39 percent. Bunning won election to the Senate six years ago by a tiny margin. Odds are he'll get a return ticket but that he won't humiliate Mongiardo. LIKELY REPUBLICAN RETENTION"
I don't believe the race is tied at 43, but I also don't believe that Bunning has an 11-point lead right now. He has just come through one of the worst patches of his campaign, and fortunately for him there is only one week left until the election. If he manages to get back to the 11-point margin over the next seven days, it will be a surprise. I would guess more like a 7-8 point win for Bunning. Certainly nothing to brag about for the incumbent,but at least Kentucky will not be responsible if the balance of power shifts in the Senate.
UPDATE: Here is a story detailing the recent troubles of Kentucky's junior senator.
posted by Hal | 11:01 PM
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